Retirement Planning
2020 Portfolio Review and Market Update
As an Independent Fiduciary Advisory, we at Lifetime are very proud to work with Synergy Financial Management as our primary investment management firm. We are also fortunate to have Synergy’s President, Joe Maas, serve as our CIO.
Periodically, Joe provides us with an excellent update on what has happened to the markets in the recent past and, more importantly, he also shares his opinions on what he expects in the future as well. Below is his most recent update. Enjoy!
Synergy Financial Management
Portfolio Review and Market Update
We are happy to provide you with our 2020 Market review. Please click on the image below to watch the video.
One year ago, as we welcomed the first quarter of 2020 and the excitement of a presidential election year, no one could have imagined the shock the global economy was about to receive from a microscopic enemy, the Covid-19 virus. By the end of Q1 we were in the grips of a US economic shutdown and the S&P 500 had cratered more than 30% at the lows. During this time, smaller cap names led the decline along with energy, utility, financial and commodity related names. Treasury yields had collapsed along with entire spectrum of the yield curve to record lows and equity risk premium spiked overnight to levels we had not seen the height of the financial crisis. By the end of Q2, the financial markets had become confident in global central banks and policy makers interventions and the markets were in the midst of a remarkable recovery led by the ‘stay at home names’ and mega cap technology stocks. The top 5 names by market capitalization in the S&P grew to just shy of 24% of the weight in the S&P 500 and delivered nearly all the recovery returns. During Q3, financial markets began to see more evidence of an economic recovery. The broader ISM Manufacturing Index along with regional gauges of manufacturing activity began turning from contractionary to expansionary, triggering a rotation into value names and those companies more sensitive to the underlying economy. By the end of Q3, the mega cap technology leadership took a pause in favor of a more broad-based recovery led by smaller cap names and those value names more sensitive to the underlying economy.
Q4 of 2020 ushered in the presidential election along with new hopes for a Covid-19 vaccine, a fresh round of fiscal stimulus and direct monetary intervention. Our stance was and continues to be regardless of which party wins the presidential election or whether Democrats are able to take control of the Senate, we believe that the likelihood of future stimulus spending will ultimately outweigh the increase in both regulations and taxation resulting from a Democratic majority in the house and senate. As a result, we maintained our positions and exposures throughout Q4 of 2020.
As always, the team at Synergy Financial Management is continually monitoring market movements.
IMPORTANT
The information contained in this newsletter is for general use and educational purposes only.
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